If twenty-nine Republican Congressmen choose to vote for a candidate other than Boehner, the current Speaker will not have enough votes to assume the chair again. At that point more votes will be required until someone receives the necessary majority of all present and voting. If logic ruled the day, Boehner would clearly lose because the majority of Republicans in America and even right-leaning independents think that Boehner is way too soft in his dealing with President Obama. They elected Republicans to fight, not to act like losers.
Despite these views, the odds favor Boehner retaining the Speakership and the reason is power and using it to reward his supporters. Unlike his promises when he became Speaker in 2010, Boehner rules the House with an iron hand. Disagree with him and you are likely to lose a coveted assignment or be assigned one of the worst offices available. Be his "lapdog" and you might even make it to the leadership someday.
There is still the possibility, however, that enough Conservatives will bravely vote against the Speaker. One thing that would likely help them to do so would be the entry into the fray of a Republican candidate who could draw a much broader swath of members to his support than either Gohmert or Yoho. They are both fine men, but both have already challenged Boehner directly in the past and members are wary of voting for them in the event their attempt fails.
Who is one who would likely have enough support to be successsful. Well, I think it would probably be Congressman Jim Jordan of Ohio. A well spoken and fearless Conservative, Jordan is respected by all in the party, even those with whom he disagrees. This is an element which would be critical for any new Speaker were he to take office. While I have no idea whether or not Jordan is even considering such a move, his name has been bandied about by a number of Congressmen today as someone who could possibly win.
I sincerely hope that something happens that will result in the replacement of Boehner. He has disappointed Conservatives on too many occasions and seems almost cozy with Obama, something that I find anathema to the role of any opposition leader. America needs bold action today, not weak kowtowing to a would be dictator.
Folks, America is in a "pickle" right now and one of the first things needed to change things is a Republican Party in Washington that will fight for what is right, not cave at the earliest sign of Presidential pressure. I for one will accept any replacement for Boehner as I think no one could be any worse. He frankly has lost the nation's trust.
There is still time early in the morning to call your Congressman. The vote won't take place until early afternoon, so if you haven't done so already please call. And let's all pray that Republicans don't add another mistake to their long list of disappointments in recent years. American can't take much more.
God bless you all. Let's #DumpBoehnerNow.